Showing posts with label USA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label USA. Show all posts

09 December 2015

The Student Debt Crisis

Student debt is a very real crisis in America and a growing concern in nations like the UK. When I graduated from law school in May 2013 I had borrowed a staggering $138,943. This original principal amount paid for my total cost of attendance, which included: tuition, fees, and housing. It should be noted; I even had a graduate program scholarship worth several thousand dollars that reduced the amount I had to borrow.

The intensity of a professional degree makes working during the school year very difficult. The summers are reserved for unpaid internships, which are the number one way students land jobs upon graduation. After all, the goal of this highly expensive education is to end up practicing law and making enough money to repay said debt.  

Unlike many students, I managed to graduate from my undergrad debt free with the aid of scholarships and summer jobs and had even saved enough to travel Europe for the summer after commencement. Additionally, I not only earned an LL.B. degree, but also two LL.M.s, which means my total cost of attendance on average, per year, was less than $30,000. I do not mind repaying what I borrowed, but the hyper interest and fees the government levied seems outrageous to say the least. Not to mention it being a super tax on poor students who borrowed to improve their lot and their family’s lot in life. See tax burden chart for Delta County.

Sitting two and a half years after graduation, my debt burden has grown to $231,930.[1] Difficulty with the bar exam and the lingering effects of the financial crisis on the legal services industry has made finding a job in law incredibly challenging. The tenuous realities of the economy were noted when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) opting to keep the Fed rate at 0%-0.25% - where they have been for the seven years since the financial crisis.[2]

While it may seem insane, the interest rates on my student loans range from 8.5% to 9.5%. Tack on fees and that is how the principal has grown by 60% in 2.5 years! As of 8 Dec. 2015, even the bank prime loan interest rate was 3.25%.[3] Although the Federal Reserve has no direct role in setting the prime rate, many banks choose to set their prime rates based partly on the target level of the federal funds rate--the rate that banks charge each other for short-term loans--established by the FOMC.[4]

The Fed has kept interest rates low to making capital easier to acquire. While student interest rates are over 10-times higher than the Fed rate, the fact that the loans are originated from a government lender has made raising the capital to earn a degree much easier.

Unlike other loans, student loans cannot be included in a bankruptcy. This means that if a graduate encounters a financial hardship, such as long-term unemployment, health related hardships, or general changes in the industry or world which effects entering the labor force, there is no recourse for restructuring and setting aside certain obligations. It should be noted, that law does permit setting aside some student loan obligations for permanent disabilities which did not exist at the time of the origination of the loan.

The Fed’s goals are maximum employment and an inflation rate of 2%.[5] The FOMC looks to any Federal Unemployment Rate of 5% or less per annum as full national employment. This is regardless of the Labor Force Participation Rate, which sheds light on the discouraged workers and long-term unemployed who are no longer filing for unemployment benefits.

Congress has created income-based debt repayment schemes to help those who are struggling to make the minimum monthly amounts. While this scheme has helped reduce the monthly repayment costs, the interest continues to accrue at an alarming rate. This is harmful to the borrower, because the reason for borrowing was because the borrower was poor. Maintaining high rates of interest for the term of the loan means an original $138,943 loan over a 30 year period means $281,648 will have been paid in interest. However, the repayment scheme for those facing financial hardship is even worse, as forbearance rolls unpaid interest into the principal. Thus, my Dec. 2015 re-adjusted student debt obligation of $231,930 will turn into $702,070 over a 30 year period, with $470,140 being additional interest. All in all, an original principal amount of $138,943 will, over a 30 year term, generate $751,788 in interest income for the U.S. government.

The other scheme Congress has is what is called the 10 year plan. This plan allows for debt forgiveness to occur after 10 years of working for the government or a non-profit entity. The policy purpose being that these jobs pay less than the private sector and would be challenged for the debtor to repay the burden. The other policy idea is to encourage smart, but non-wealthy students to earn graduate and post-graduate degrees. For forgiveness to be effective, in addition to the above, there must be 120 consecutive minimum payments made to the Department of Education.

For example, my Department of Education minimum payment is set at $2,760 per month. Assuming I follow the 30% Rule[6], the economic idea that a maximum of only 30% of a person’s income should go to rent or mortgage payments, I’d need to earn at least $4,667, presuming my rent was near the Denver, Colorado average of $1,400 per month.[7] This seems entirely doable, since that would be $56,000 per annum. After subtracting $33,120 for the yearly student loan minimum repayment and $16,800 for total rents, also don’t forget taxes, which between state and federal would be about $11,356. Add these three items up and each year you are going in red by at least $5,276. All this assumes you are not eating, commuting, having to buy clothes, or pay for emergencies.

The reality is that a person would need to earn over $100,000 in their government or non-profit job for ten years to survive financially. Even at $100,000, a borrower in my shoes would really just be surviving, as utilities, food, heath expenses, clothing, costs of children or dependents, insurance, etc. adds up very quickly, even if you are as frugal as someone who survived the Great Depression.

A problem for many policy makers is what if a young person goes off to law school or med school or engineering or business school and wants to come back to a poorer, rural region to serve the legal or medical or business needs of a small community. This debt burdened professional is not working for the government or a non-profit, thus one repayment play is off the table. Yet, should these communities be entitled to professionals who would serve the needs of that region? Often debt saddled student-borrowers are forced to work in the cities, leaving a void in poor, rural areas, where incomes wouldn’t be high enough to make payments, live, and support a family. 

I would like to see a plan that throws back the obligation to the original principal amount, then ties repayment to income and the Fed Rate. Considering the policy that student loans help smart, but poor students achieve careers in the learned professions which in turn helps elevate families to higher income brackets, thus leading to more tax generation. It is also a matter of fairness not to use forbearance provisions to hike up the aggregate repayment amount. High interest on loans is essentially a tax on poorer students who had to borrow to attend professional schools. The interest also punishes hard work and success by rewarding these borrowers less than their wealthier cohort who may make less, but would have more disposable income to spend, adding to the national GDP. Creating ways to allow for greater social mobility is a good idea; however using these methods to punish those who seek a better life seems highly unethical.




[1] U.S. Dept. of Education, Loan Servicing. Navient-SallieMae Account of Matthew Soper. 29 Nov. 2015 Print.
[2] Neate, Rupert. “Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged but hints at December rise.” The Guardian 28 Oct. 2015. Web. 7 Dec. 2015.
[3] Federal Reserve System. Selected Interest Rates -- H.15. 8 Dec. 2015. Web. 9 Dec. 2015.
[4] Federal Reserve System. FAQ – Credit, Loans, Mortgages. 2 Aug. 2013. Web. 9 Dec. 2015.
[5] Neate, Rupert. “Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged but hints at December rise.” The Guardian 28 Oct. 2015. Web. 7 Dec. 2015.

08 December 2015

Gun deaths told by the numbers*

The thesis for this OpEd is “hold your horses,” gun crime is a far more complex beast than most want to recognise.

From Colorado Springs to San Bernardino mass shootings have continued to make headlines and “memes” floating around social media.

Pundits and politicians have given sound bite solutions to America’s homicide and mass-shooting problems, yet the numbers reveal a far more complex universe, worthy of public analysis.

The latest reportable numbers reveal:

  • 21,175 suicides by firearms[1];
  •  8,438 murders by firearms[2];
  • 1,107 people killed by police using firearms[3];
  • 606 unintentional/accidental deaths by firearms[4];
  • 31,326 total deaths in the United States during a recent year.[5]

As horrifying as these numbers appear, the U.S.'s murder rate has been declining from a high watermark of nearly 10 out of 100,000 in 1991 to less than 4.5 in 2013.[6] Comparatively speaking, researchers estimate that 18.5 mothers died for every 100,000 births in the U.S.[7]

The total number of suicides by all means was 41,149.[8] Since 2005 Americans taking their own lives has been on the rise, with 12.6 out of 100,000 falling victim to suicide.[9]

The rate of homicides involving a firearm decreased by 49% between 1992 and 2011,[10] though firearms remain the instrument of choice for roughly 67% of murders, the other 43% accomplished their lethal act with some other ‘tool’.[11]

Unintentional or accidental deaths caused by firearms, seems the easiest for society to reduce by pushing more gun safety education. Unfortunately Americans as a whole are not the most safety prone. The Center for Disease Control reports that 130,557 Americans died in 2013 as a result of accidents or unintentional injuries.[12]

Many American’s greatest fear is being the victim of a deranged perpetrator’s shooting rampage, yet the Department of Justice reports that 95% of all homicides in the U.S. involve only one victim.[13] This means 0.23 out of 100,000 will be victims of a mass murder, which is a fairly low rate in direct proportion to the media coverage.

The reality is the victim will more likely than not know their murderer. With certain exceptions, homicide is not committed by an unknown person to the victim: 25.5% of male victims and 11.9% of female victims were killed by complete strangers. Compared with 46.2% of male victims were killed by a friend or colleague, and 41.5% of female victims were killed by an intimate partner.[14]

Is homicide a male problem? The latest trends show: 68% of all homicides had a male offender and a male victim. Shockingly, 98% of all mass shootings were committed by males[15]; 94% of all gang related murders were male victims; 90% of drug related murders were male victims; and 79% of felony murders involved a male victim.[16]

In only 21% of homicides was there a male offender and female victim; 9% involved a female offender and male victim; and lastly just 2% of all homicides involved a female as both the perpetrator and victim.[17]

A mass shooting is defined as four or more people shot in one event, whereas a “murder spree” or “mass murder” is when more than one person was killed during the same occurrence.[18] Legally speaking, these distinctions are used as aggravating factors to increase the severity of the penalty.

According to the shootingtracker.com, mass shootings have declined from 363 in 2013 to just over 300 for the current year.[19]

One commonly cited precedent to follow is that of Australia. Following the 1996 school shooting on the Island of Tasmania, the government seized approximately 650,000 firearms. While suicides by firearms declined significantly, homicides by guns has been a hard statistic to determine since there were so few homicides in Australia before the ban.[20]

The lesson from down under is that a solution that only focuses on the tool and not on culture, education, regional values, crime, or economic triggers misses the big picture.

What is the take-away? Society must decide if attacking the ‘tool’ used or addressing the underlying causes is more important. Such underlying causes include: mental health (and legislative cuts to funding), long-term male joblessness (which leads to crime), and gang and drug related activities (which increase murders). There are no simple solutions, only intelligent choices.

Matt Soper is a resident of Delta County and alumnus of Colorado Mesa University, holding law degrees from The University of Edinburgh and the University of New Hampshire. Contact the author at matt.soper@alumni.law.unh.edu.

*M Soper, "Gun deaths told by the numbers." Commentary. The Daily Sentinel, Grand Junction, Colo. 6 December 2015, p. 7B.




[1] “Suicide & Self-Inflicted Injury.” Center for Disease Control. U.S. Department of Health & Human Services, 2015. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[2] “Murder 2013.” Uniform Crime Reports. U.S. Department of Justice, Federal Bureau of Investigation, 2015. Web, < https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2013/crime-in-the-u.s.-2013/tables/table-20/table_20_murder_by_state_types_of_weapons_2013.xls>. 6 October 2015.
[3] “2014 Data.” Killed by Police. Killed by Police, 2015. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[4] WISQARS Injury Mortality Reports, 1999-2010, supra note 1.
[5] Estimated total number of deaths for 2014 involving firearms. See FBI crime reports, CDC database, & the website killedbypolice.net. 1 December 2015.
[6] “Murder Rate 1970-2011.” Murder Rates. Death Penalty Info, 2015. Web, < http://www.deathpenaltyinfo.org/murder-rates-nationally-and-state>. 6 October 2015;  “Crime in the U.S. 2013.” Uniform Crime Reports. U.S. Department of Justice, Federal Bureau of Investigation, 2015. Web, < https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2013/crime-in-the-u.s.-2013/violent-crime/murder-topic-page/murdermain_final>. 6 October 2015; also see: “The Nation’s two measures of homicide.” DOJ. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[7] “Maternal deaths in childbirth rise in the U.S.” The Washington Post.
[8] Suicide & Self-Inflicted Injury. Op. cite.
[9] “Facts & Figures.” American Foundation for Suicide Prevention. American Foundation for Suicide Prevention, 2015. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[10] “Homicide in the US known to law enforcement.” Bureau of Justice Statistics. U.S. Department of Justice. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[11] “Murder 2013.” Uniform Crime Reports. FBI, 2015. Web. 6 October 2015.
[12] “Mortality: accidents & unintentional injuries.” Center for Disease Control. U.S. Department of Health & Human Services, 2015. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[13] “Homicide in the US known to law enforcement.” Bureau of Justice Statistics. Web. 6 October 2015.
[14] “Homicide Trends in the United States, 1980-2010.” Bureau of Justice Statistics. U.S. Department of Justice. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[15] “Why Mass Killers Are Always Male.” Time. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[16] Homicide trends. Op. cite.
[17] Homicide trends. Op. cite.
[18] “2014 Raw Data.” Mass Shooting Tracker. Shooting Tracker, 2015. Web, . 6 October 2015.
[19] “2013-2015 Raw Data,” Mass Shooting Tracker, Shooting Tracker, 2015. Web. 2 December 2015.
[20] Ehrenfreund, Max. “What liberal don’t want to admit about gun control,” Wonkblog. The Washington Post 9 October 2015. Web. < https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/10/02/what-liberals-dont-want-to-admit-about-gun-control/> 2 December 2015.